South Group 1 · Public
Florence Flashes
3-41-3 in the Patriot · Coach Joe Frappoli Jr.
Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM
Long shot
2% to make it
Win: 18%. Loss: under 1%.
- Waiting on
- vs KIPP Cooper Norcross, Thu 6:00 PM.
- Seed
- After Thursday: No. 8 at best, or out.
- Can pass us
- Thursday: 8 teams. See who ↓
Last game
Next game
- Maple ShadeNo. 16 · 2-6Plays Riverside on Saturday, Oct 24+37
- WoodburyNo. 17 · 2-6Plays at Buena on Saturday, Oct 24+33
- South HunterdonNo. 17 · 5-3Plays at Lyndhurst on Friday, Oct 23+42
Before the cutoff · Thursday, Oct 22
Who can still pass Florence?
Best caseNo. 8 seedWorst caseOut
New Egypt4-4 · 21st todayPasses us if they beat Keansburg and we lose to KIPP Cooper Norcross.
KIPP Cooper Norcross2-6 · 28th todayOnly if they beat us and other results go their way.
Riverside1-7 · 23rd todayOnly if they beat Maple Shade, we lose to KIPP Cooper Norcross and other results go their way.
Palmyra4-3 · 27th todayOnly if they beat Middle Twp., we lose to KIPP Cooper Norcross and other results go their way.
Keansburg3-5 · 29th todayOnly if they beat New Egypt, we lose to KIPP Cooper Norcross and other results go their way.
Buena3-5 · 22nd todayPasses us if they beat Woodbury and we lose to KIPP Cooper Norcross.
Pitman3-4 · 25th todayOnly if they beat Woodstown and other results go their way.
Haddon Twp.2-4 · 26th todayOnly if they beat Wildwood, we lose to KIPP Cooper Norcross and other results go their way.
Can’t pass Florence: everyone else in South Group 1, whatever happens Thursday. Checked against every way Thursday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.
Schedule and results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | The line | Beat the line by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | at Bordentown | L6–28 | ||
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Palmyra | W14–7 | ||
| 3 | Sep 18 | at Camden Catholic | L0–24 | ||
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Riverside | W21–20 | ||
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs Holy Cross | L6–14 | ||
| 6 | Oct 10 | at Gloucester Catholic | W29–8 | ||
| 7 | Oct 19 | at Maple Shade | L8–39 | ||
| Still to play · lines as of today | |||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs KIPP Cooper Norcross | Thu 6:00 PM | KIPP Cooper Norcross by 18 | |
The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.
Still to play
vs KIPP Cooper NorcrossKIPP Cooper Norcross by 18Thu 6:00 PM
Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.
The numbers
How the ratings work →Strength Index after each week
Started the season at 44.91 · locks after Week 7
| After | SI | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Season start | 44.91 | |
| Week 1 | 43.82 | down −1.09 |
| Week 2 | 42.84 | down −0.98 |
| Week 3 | 38.44 | down −4.40 |
| Week 4 | 40.43 | up +1.99 |
| Week 5 | 38.36 | down −2.08 |
| Week 6 | 36.97 | down −1.39 |
| Week 7 | 31.28 | down −5.68 |
What if?
Pick a result for each game left. Everything else stays fixed, so other teams’ games will move these numbers too.
Week 0 · vs Haddon Twp.The line: Florence by 4. Win by more and the Strength Index goes up; win by less and it slips a little. Either way, the win adds power points. Margins over 35 count as 35.
Week 8 · vs KIPP Cooper NorcrossKIPP Cooper Norcross by 18 · Strength Index is locked after Week 7, so the margin here doesn’t count
If Florence wins bothNowThenChange
Seed in South Group 12017up 3
Strength Index31.2832.52+1.24
Power points6.868.00+1.14
Opponent strength rank20th19thup 1
Power rank (UPR)20.417.8better
Final figures average over at least 7 games, so every result counts.