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Nutley Maroon Raiders helmet

North Group 4 · Public

Nutley Maroon Raiders

3-51-2 in the Patriot Red · Coach Christian (Chris) Helm
Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

Long shot

7% to make it

Win: 90%. Loss: under 1%.

Waiting on
at West Essex, Fri 6:30 PM.
Seed
After Friday: No. 8 at best, or out.
Can pass us
Friday: 3 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 6:30 PM · Awayat West Essex7-1The lineWest Essex by 20Playoff oddsWin 90% · lose under 1%Game preview →
If the season ended todayOutNo. 18 of 28 in North Group 4.Playoff spot7%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOut
If Nutley wins outAbout 9 in 10Beat West Essex and Nutley makes it 88% of the time. One win alone doesn't lock it.Nutley also needs these teams to lose
  • Watchung HillsNo. 16 · 4-4Plays at Bridgewater-Raritan on Friday, Oct 23+82
  • CarteretNo. 16 · 4-4Plays Monroe on Friday, Oct 23+14
And these teams to win
  • Newark CentralNo. 20 · 3-4Plays at East Orange on Saturday, Oct 24+10
88% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 7:40 PM. +82 means a Watchung Hills loss adds 82 points to Nutley's chance.

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Nutley?

Best caseNo. 8 seedWorst caseOut
  • Newark Central helmetNewark Central3-4 · 20th todayCan pass us whether they win or lose, with help from other results.
  • Colonia helmetColonia2-6 · 19th todayPasses us if they beat South Brunswick and we lose to West Essex.
  • Fair Lawn helmetFair Lawn3-5 · 21st todayOnly if they beat Wayne Hills and other results go their way.

Can’t pass Nutley: everyone else in North Group 4, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

WkDateOpponentResultThe lineBeat the line by
0Aug 28vs Pascack ValleyL29–31
1Sep 4vs OrangeW49–0
2Sep 10vs WeequahicL18–24
3Sep 18vs Wayne HillsL14–35
4Sep 26vs Newark CentralL7–21
5Oct 2at Wayne ValleyL22–40
6Oct 9at BloomfieldW20–17
7Oct 16vs MontclairW35–6
Still to play · lines as of today
8Oct 23at West EssexFri 6:30 PMWest Essex by 20

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Wvs MontclairOct 16 · 35–6 ›
Wat BloomfieldOct 9 · 20–17 ›
Lat Wayne ValleyOct 2 · 22–40 ›
Lvs Newark CentralSep 26 · 7–21 ›
Lvs Wayne HillsSep 18 · 14–35 ›
Lvs WeequahicSep 10 · 18–24 ›
Wvs OrangeSep 4 · 49–0 ›
Lvs Pascack ValleyAug 28 · 29–31 ›

Still to play

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 55.27 · locks after Week 7
506070startW0W1W2W3W4W5W6W763.17
AfterSIΔ
Season start55.27
Week 057.27up +2.00
Week 163.33up +6.06
Week 263.23down −0.10
Week 362.29down −0.94
Week 460.77down −1.52
Week 557.75down −3.02
Week 659.03up +1.27
Week 763.17up +4.14

What if?

Pick the result against West Essex. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Nutley wins by 10NowThenChange
Seed, favorites win elsewhereOutNo. 8in
Strength Index63.1763.17locked
Power points6.888.78+1.90
Opponent strength rank18th16thup 2
Power rank (UPR)18.416.0better

History

Our records so far cover the 2025 season.

4-52025 record172–246points for and against
Record book →

Last meeting with this year's opponents

Wayne HillsL 10–34 (2025)This year: L 14–35
BloomfieldW 21–14 (2025)This year: W 20–17
West EssexL 20–55 (2025)Next: Fri, Oct 23