North Group 3 · Public
Holmdel Hornets
5-31-3 in the A North · Coach Noel Kavanagh
Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM
Clinched
Playoff spot
Home game: 82%. A No. 4 seed today.
- Waiting on
- vs Manalapan, Fri 7:00 PM.
- Seed
- After Friday: No. 3 to No. 7. · No. 4 or better hosts
- Can pass us
- Friday: 6 teams. See who ↓
Last game
Next game
For coaches
Holmdel is in. Here's what's next.
Updated Tue, Oct 20, 7:40 PM · refreshed after every final
Home game82%The top 8 in North Group 3 host a first-round game.
No. 1 seedOutThe top 2 are the No. 1 seeds and host every section game.
This weekvs Manalapan: a win makes a home game 100%, a loss 56%.
- Root for Mount Olive over West Morris · home game +19
- Root for Elizabeth over Somerville · +18
- Root for Old Tappan over Montville · +18
Who to scout
Most likely playoff opponents.
First round
- Morris Hills26%
- Somerville25%
- Montville22%
- Matawan12%
- West Morris9%
- Wayne Valley5%
Second round, if you win
Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23
Who can still pass Holmdel?
Best caseNo. 3 seedWorst caseNo. 7 seedFavorites winNo. 3 seed
Montville6-2 · 10th todayPasses us if they beat Old Tappan. With a loss, passes us if we lose to Manalapan and Wall beats Red Bank Catholic.
West Morris5-3 · 8th todayCan pass us if they beat Mount Olive and other results go their way. With a loss, passes us if we lose to Manalapan, Morris Hills beats Madison and Wall beats Red Bank Catholic.
Somerville5-3 · 11th todayOnly if they beat Elizabeth, we lose to Manalapan and other results go their way.
Morris Hills7-1 · 8th todayOnly if they beat Madison, we lose to Manalapan and other results go their way.
Wayne Valley4-4 · 12th todayPasses us if they beat Ramapo, we lose to Manalapan and Wall beats Red Bank Catholic.
Matawan4-4 · 12th todayOnly if they beat Middletown South, we lose to Manalapan and other results go their way.
Can’t pass Holmdel: everyone else in North Group 3, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.
Schedule and results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | The line | Beat the line by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aug 27 | vs Hightstown | W45–14 | ||
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Red Bank | W48–7 | ||
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Rumson-Fair Haven | L28–40 | ||
| 3 | Sep 22 | vs St. John Vianney | W28–14 | ||
| 4 | Sep 25 | at Red Bank Catholic | L7–36 | ||
| 5 | Oct 3 | at Middletown South | W12–0 | ||
| 6 | Oct 9 | at Wall | L13–14 | ||
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs Raritan | W49–26 | ||
| Still to play · lines as of today | |||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs Manalapan | Fri 7:00 PM | Holmdel by 3.3 | |
The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.
Still to play
vs ManalapanHolmdel by 3.3Fri 7:00 PM
Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.
The numbers
How the ratings work →Strength Index after each week
Started the season at 78.75 · locks after Week 7
| After | SI | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Season start | 78.75 | |
| Week 0 | 79.90 | up +1.15 |
| Week 1 | 85.34 | up +5.44 |
| Week 2 | 80.93 | down −4.41 |
| Week 3 | 80.25 | down −0.67 |
| Week 4 | 76.48 | down −3.77 |
| Week 5 | 78.14 | up +1.66 |
| Week 6 | 75.71 | down −2.43 |
| Week 7 | 78.24 | up +2.53 |
What if?
Pick the result against Manalapan. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.
If Holmdel wins by 10NowThenChange
Seed, favorites win elsewhereNo. 4No. 3up 1
Strength Index78.2478.24locked
Power points11.1311.56+0.43
Opponent strength rank7th6thup 1
Power rank (UPR)7.06.4better