South Group 4 · Public
Long Branch Green Wave
2-61-3 in the D North · Coach Dan George
Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM
Long shot
Under 1% to make it
Win: 14%. Loss: under 1%.
- Waiting on
- vs Barnegat, Fri 6:00 PM.
- Seed
- After Friday: No. 8 at best, or out.
- Can pass us
- Friday: 2 teams. See who ↓
Last game
Next game
Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23
Who can still pass Long Branch?
Best caseNo. 8 seedWorst caseOut
Hightstown1-7 · 24th todayOnly if they beat Allentown, we lose to Barnegat and other results go their way.
Toms River East1-7 · 26th todayPasses us if they beat Central and we lose to Barnegat.
Can’t pass Long Branch: everyone else in South Group 4, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.
Schedule and results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | The line | Beat the line by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aug 28 | at Hammonton | L0–47 | ||
| 1 | Sep 5 | at Keansburg | W51–0 | ||
| 2 | Sep 10 | at Colts Neck | L0–32 | ||
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs Monmouth | L7–49 | ||
| 4 | Sep 25 | at Manchester Twp. | W21–7 | ||
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs Ocean Twp. | L7–42 | ||
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs Asbury Park | L13–24 | ||
| 7 | Oct 16 | at Red Bank | L7–31 | ||
| Still to play · lines as of today | |||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs Barnegat | Fri 6:00 PM | Barnegat by 32 | |
| — | Oct 31 | at Freehold Boro | Oct 31 | Long Branch by 6.2 | |
The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.
Still to play
vs BarnegatBarnegat by 32Fri 6:00 PM
at Freehold BoroLong Branch by 6.2Oct 31
Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.
The numbers
How the ratings work →Strength Index after each week
Started the season at 45.07 · locks after Week 7
| After | SI | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Season start | 45.07 | |
| Week 0 | 38.14 | down −6.93 |
| Week 1 | 48.81 | up +10.67 |
| Week 2 | 41.86 | down −6.96 |
| Week 3 | 37.55 | down −4.31 |
| Week 4 | 39.29 | up +1.74 |
| Week 5 | 36.63 | down −2.67 |
| Week 6 | 35.39 | down −1.23 |
| Week 7 | 35.40 | no change 0.00 |
What if?
Pick the result against Barnegat. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.
If Long Branch wins by 10NowThenChange
Seed, favorites win elsewhereOutOutno change
Strength Index35.4035.40locked
Power points6.508.44+1.94
Opponent strength rank26th21stup 5
Power rank (UPR)23.218.2better