North Group 2 · Public

Mahwah Thunderbirds

3-41-2 in the American Red · Coach Adam Szuch

Playoff statusChecked Tue 10:55 PM

Long shot

28% to make it

A win Friday clinches a spot.

Waiting on: at Westwood, Fri 7:00 PM.
Seed: After Friday: No. 5 at best, or out.
Can pass us: Friday: 5 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Friday, Oct 16at Fair LawnL0–14Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM · Awayat Westwood5-2The lineWestwood by 15Playoff oddsWin a lock · lose 17%Game preview →

If the season ended todayNo. 8 seed, Section AAt No. 1 seed Hoboken in the first round.If every favorite wins Friday: out of the top 16. Indian Hills moves ahead.Playoff spot28%Home gameUnder 1%No. 1 seedOutFull bracket →

If Mahwah wins outThey're inBeat Westwood and Mahwah makes it. No help needed.99% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 10:55 PM.

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Mahwah?

Best caseNo. 5 seedWorst caseOut

Indian Hills4-4 · 17th todayOnly if they beat Parsippany, we lose to Westwood and other results go their way.
Madison3-5 · 18th todayPasses us if they beat Morris Hills and we lose to Westwood.
Dumont3-4 · 19th todayOnly if we lose to Westwood and other results go their way, win or lose themselves.
Glen Rock3-4 · 22nd todayOnly if they beat Hawthorne, we lose to Westwood and other results go their way.
Lenape Valley4-4 · 24th todayOnly if they beat Wallkill Valley, we lose to Westwood and other results go their way.

Can’t pass Mahwah: everyone else in North Group 2, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
1	Sep 3	vs Pequannock	W28–12
2	Sep 10	at Dumont	L21–22
3	Sep 18	at Lakeland	L14–20
4	Sep 25	vs New Milford	W28–21
5	Oct 2	at Ramsey	W31–28
6	Oct 9	vs Hanover Park	L3–7
7	Oct 16	at Fair Lawn	L0–14
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 23	at Westwood	Fri 7:00 PM	Westwood by 15

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Lat Fair LawnOct 16 · 0–14 ›

Lvs Hanover ParkOct 9 · 3–7 ›

Wat RamseyOct 2 · 31–28 ›

Wvs New MilfordSep 25 · 28–21 ›

Lat LakelandSep 18 · 14–20 ›

Lat DumontSep 10 · 21–22 ›

Wvs PequannockSep 3 · 28–12 ›

Still to play

at WestwoodWestwood by 15Fri 7:00 PM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

If it ended today

Full bracket →

North Group 2 · Section A · first round, higher seed hosts

1Hoboken 7-1a lock

8Mahwah 3-428%

4New Providence 6-1a lock

5High Point 7-1a lock

3Rutherford 7-1a lock

6Becton 4-493%

2Westwood 5-2a lock

7Vernon 5-3a lock

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 64.19 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	64.19
Week 1	65.88	up +1.69
Week 2	63.92	down −1.96
Week 3	64.14	up +0.22
Week 4	66.93	up +2.80
Week 5	68.19	up +1.25
Week 6	66.78	down −1.41
Week 7	60.20	down −6.57

What if?

Pick a result for each game left. Everything else stays fixed, so other teams’ games will move these numbers too.

Week 0 · at Morristown-BeardThe line: Mahwah by 3. Win by more and the Strength Index goes up; win by less and it slips a little. Either way, the win adds power points. Margins over 35 count as 35.

Week 8 · at WestwoodWestwood by 15 · Strength Index is locked after Week 7, so the margin here doesn’t count

If Mahwah wins bothNowThenChange

Seed in North Group 2169up 7

Strength Index60.2061.70+1.50

Power points8.7111.11+2.40

Opponent strength rank14th8thup 6

Power rank (UPR)15.28.8better

Final figures average over at least 7 games, so every result counts.

History

Our records so far cover the 2025 season.

1-02025 record28–6points for and against

Record book →