South Group 4 · Public

Cedar Creek Pirates

1-70-4 in the Classic · Coach James Melody

Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

Not yet eligible

11% to make it

Needs one more win over an NJSIAA school.

Waiting on: vs Holy Spirit, Fri 6:00 PM.
Seed: After Friday: No. 7 at best, or out.
Can pass us: Friday: 6 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Friday, Oct 16at MainlandL20–27Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 6:00 PM · Homevs Holy Spirit3-4The lineHoly Spirit by 17Playoff oddsWin 94% · lose under 1%Game preview →

If the season ended todayOutNo. 20 of 27 in South Group 4. Needs one more NJSIAA win to be eligible.Playoff spot11%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOut

If Cedar Creek wins outAlmost certainlyBeat Holy Spirit and Cedar Creek makes it 94% of the time. One win alone doesn't lock it.Cedar Creek also needs these teams to lose

HamiltonNo. 16 · 4-3Plays Notre Dame on Saturday, Oct 24+22
Colts NeckNo. 17 · 4-4Plays Monmouth on Saturday, Oct 24+20
PrincetonNo. 17 · 3-5Plays at Hopewell Valley on Friday, Oct 23+18

94% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 7:40 PM. +22 means a Hamilton loss adds 22 points to Cedar Creek's chance.

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Cedar Creek?

Best caseNo. 7 seedWorst caseOut

Cherry Hill West2-6 · 22nd todayCan pass us if they beat Camden Eastside and other results go their way. With a loss, passes us if we lose to Holy Spirit.
Long Branch2-6 · 23rd todayPasses us if we lose to Holy Spirit, win or lose themselves.
Central1-7 · 21st todayPasses us if they beat Toms River East and we lose to Holy Spirit.
Freehold Boro1-7 · 27th todayPasses us if they beat Keyport and we lose to Holy Spirit.
Hightstown1-7 · 24th todayPasses us if they beat Allentown and we lose to Holy Spirit.
Toms River East1-7 · 26th todayPasses us if they beat Central and we lose to Holy Spirit.

Can’t pass Cedar Creek: everyone else in South Group 4, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Sep 1	vs St. John Vianney	L28–29
1	Sep 3	vs Ocean City	L2–6
2	Sep 11	vs Pleasantville	L6–20
3	Sep 19	vs Glassboro	L6–41
4	Sep 25	at Camden	L7–27
5	Oct 2	vs Cherokee	W20–14
6	Oct 9	vs Camden Eastside	L7–48
7	Oct 16	at Mainland	L20–27
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 23	vs Holy Spirit	Fri 6:00 PM	Holy Spirit by 17

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Lat MainlandOct 16 · 20–27 ›

Lvs Camden EastsideOct 9 · 7–48 ›

Wvs CherokeeOct 2 · 20–14 ›

Lat CamdenSep 25 · 7–27 ›

Lvs GlassboroSep 19 · 6–41 ›

Lvs PleasantvilleSep 11 · 6–20 ›

Lvs Ocean CitySep 3 · 2–6 ›

Lvs St. John VianneySep 1 · 28–29 ›

Still to play

vs Holy SpiritHoly Spirit by 17Fri 6:00 PM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 85.20 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	85.20
Week 0	81.45	down −3.75
Week 1	78.15	down −3.30
Week 2	73.45	down −4.70
Week 3	70.04	down −3.41
Week 4	68.79	down −1.25
Week 5	67.95	down −0.84
Week 6	60.65	down −7.30
Week 7	58.07	down −2.57

What if?

Pick the result against Holy Spirit. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Cedar Creek wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed, favorites win elsewhereOutNo. 8in

Strength Index58.0758.07locked

Power points4.635.78+1.15

Opponent strength rank16th12thup 4

Power rank (UPR)19.616.0better

History

Our records so far cover the 2025 season.

0-12025 record7–21points for and against

Record book →