North Group 2 · Public

Hackettstown Tigers

4-42-3 in the American Blue · Coach Mike Arakelian

Playoff statusChecked Tue 10:55 PM

On the bubble

52% to make it

Win: 60%. Loss: 21%.

Waiting on: at Warren Hills, Fri 7:00 PM.
Seed: After Friday: No. 7 at best, or out.
Can pass us: Friday: 6 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Friday, Oct 16vs JeffersonW39–6Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM · Awayat Warren Hills2-6The lineHackettstown by 9.2Playoff oddsWin 60% · lose 21%Game preview →

If the season ended todayNo. 8 seed, Section BAt No. 1 seed Caldwell in the first round.Playoff spot52%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOutFull bracket →

If Hackettstown wins outAbout 2 in 3Beat Warren Hills and Hackettstown makes it 60% of the time. One win alone doesn't lock it.Hackettstown also needs these teams to lose

MadisonNo. 18 · 3-5Plays Morris Hills on Friday, Oct 23+73
Indian HillsNo. 17 · 4-4Plays Parsippany on Friday, Oct 23+33
MahwahNo. 16 · 3-4Plays at Westwood on Friday, Oct 23+26

60% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 10:55 PM. +73 means a Madison loss adds 73 points to Hackettstown's chance.

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Hackettstown?

Best caseNo. 7 seedWorst caseOutFavorites winNo. 8 seed

Madison3-5 · 18th todayPasses us if they beat Morris Hills. With a loss, passes us if we lose to Warren Hills and 8 other results go their way.
Mahwah3-4 · 16th todayPasses us if they beat Westwood. With a loss, only if we lose to Warren Hills and other results go their way.
Indian Hills4-4 · 17th todayOnly if they beat Parsippany and other results go their way.
Dumont3-4 · 19th todayOnly if they beat Lakeland and other results go their way.
Glen Rock3-4 · 22nd todayOnly if they beat Hawthorne, we lose to Warren Hills and other results go their way.
Lenape Valley4-4 · 24th todayPasses us if they beat Wallkill Valley, we lose to Warren Hills and 4 other results go their way.

Can’t pass Hackettstown: everyone else in North Group 2, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Aug 28	at Belvidere	W27–8
1	Sep 3	vs Newton	L0–41
2	Sep 11	vs Kittatinny	W14–12
3	Sep 18	vs High Point	L21–45
4	Sep 26	at Morris Hills	L0–14
5	Oct 2	vs Morris Catholic	W34–6
6	Oct 9	at Vernon	L20–50
7	Oct 16	vs Jefferson	W39–6
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 23	at Warren Hills	Fri 7:00 PM	Hackettstown by 9.2

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Wvs JeffersonOct 16 · 39–6 ›

Lat VernonOct 9 · 20–50 ›

Wvs Morris CatholicOct 2 · 34–6 ›

Lat Morris HillsSep 26 · 0–14 ›

Lvs High PointSep 18 · 21–45 ›

Wvs KittatinnySep 11 · 14–12 ›

Lvs NewtonSep 3 · 0–41 ›

Wat BelvidereAug 28 · 27–8 ›

Still to play

at Warren HillsHackettstown by 9.2Fri 7:00 PM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

If it ended today

Full bracket →

North Group 2 · Section B · first round, higher seed hosts

1Caldwell 7-0a lock

8Hackettstown 4-452%

4Bernards 6-2a lock

5Hanover Park 4-4a lock

3Lakeland 6-2a lock

6Ramsey 4-3a lock

2Waldwick 7-1a lock

7Hillside 7-1a lock

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 57.19 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	57.19
Week 0	60.97	up +3.78
Week 1	54.75	down −6.21
Week 2	55.48	up +0.73
Week 3	54.79	down −0.69
Week 4	52.74	down −2.06
Week 5	57.53	up +4.80
Week 6	54.11	down −3.43
Week 7	59.67	up +5.56

What if?

Pick the result against Warren Hills. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Hackettstown wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed, favorites win elsewhereNo. 8No. 8no change

Strength Index59.6759.67locked

Power points10.009.89−0.11

Opponent strength rank15th15thno change

Power rank (UPR)13.813.8no change