South Group 5 · Public

Toms River North Mariners

6-22-2 in the A South · Coach Dave Oizerowitz

Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

Clinched

First-round home game

No. 1 seed: under 1%.

Still open: Nothing.
Seed: After Friday: No. 1 to No. 3.
Can pass us: Friday: 1 team. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Friday, Oct 16vs Toms River SouthW42–0Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 6:30 PM · Awayat Donovan Catholic7-1The lineDonovan Catholic by 12Playoff oddsSafe either wayGame preview →

If the season ended todayNo. 3 seed, Section AHosts Jackson Twp. (2-6) in the first round.Playoff spotClinchedHome gameClinchedNo. 1 seedUnder 1%Full bracket →

For coaches

Toms River North is in. Here's what's next.

Updated Tue, Oct 20, 7:40 PM · refreshed after every final

Home gameClinchedThe top 8 in South Group 5 host a first-round game.

No. 1 seed0%The top 2 are the No. 1 seeds and host every section game.

This weekat Donovan Catholic: a win makes a No. 1 seed 0%, a loss 0%.

Root for Burlington Twp. over Rancocas Valley · No. 1 seed +11

Who to scout

Most likely playoff opponents.

First round

Second round, if you win

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Toms River North?

Best caseNo. 1 seedWorst caseNo. 3 seedFavorites winNo. 3 seed

Sayreville6-2 · 6th todayOnly if they beat Piscataway, we lose to Donovan Catholic and other results go their way.

Can’t pass Toms River North: everyone else in South Group 5, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Aug 28	at Northern Highlands	W17–14
1	Sep 3	at Toms River East	W42–0
2	Sep 11	at Pt. Pleasant Boro	W14–7
3	Sep 18	at Brick Memorial	L14–24
4	Sep 25	vs Jackson Twp.	W21–17
5	Oct 2	at Manalapan	W29–23
6	Oct 9	at Southern	L19–27
7	Oct 16	vs Toms River South	W42–0
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 23	at Donovan Catholic	Fri 6:30 PM	Donovan Catholic by 12

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Wvs Toms River SouthOct 16 · 42–0 ›

Lat SouthernOct 9 · 19–27 ›

Wat ManalapanOct 2 · 29–23 ›

Wvs Jackson Twp.Sep 25 · 21–17 ›

Lat Brick MemorialSep 18 · 14–24 ›

Wat Pt. Pleasant BoroSep 11 · 14–7 ›

Wat Toms River EastSep 3 · 42–0 ›

Wat Northern HighlandsAug 28 · 17–14 ›

Still to play

at Donovan CatholicDonovan Catholic by 12Fri 6:30 PM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

If it ended today

Full bracket →

South Group 5 · Section A · first round, higher seed hosts

1Washington Twp. 8-0a lock

8Lenape 2-663%

4Eastern 4-4a lock

5Vineland 4-3a lock

3Toms River North 6-2a lock

6Jackson Twp. 2-6a lock

2Southern 6-2a lock

7Freehold Twp. 4-494%

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 67.40 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	67.40
Week 0	70.60	up +3.20
Week 1	76.87	up +6.27
Week 2	77.67	up +0.79
Week 3	76.97	down −0.70
Week 4	74.70	down −2.27
Week 5	75.73	up +1.03
Week 6	74.60	down −1.14
Week 7	81.46	up +6.86

What if?

Pick the result against Donovan Catholic. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Toms River North wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed, favorites win elsewhereNo. 3No. 3no change

Strength Index81.4681.46locked

Power points12.7514.00+1.25

Opponent strength rank5th4thup 1

Power rank (UPR)5.03.6better