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My teamsAll scores →
Trenton Tornadoes helmet

South Group 5 · Public

Trenton Tornadoes

4-43-1 in the Capitol · Coach Harold Beatty
Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

On the bubble

60% to make it

Win: 99%. Loss: 34%.

Waiting on
at Ewing, Sat 11:00 AM.
Seed
After Saturday: No. 6 at best, or out.
Can pass us
Saturday: 6 teams. See who ↓

They move ahead of Lenape: beat them 14–9. A team that beat the team directly ahead of it is placed ahead of it.

Last game

Next game

Next · Saturday, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM · Awayat Ewing5-3The lineEwing by 3.8Playoff oddsWin a lock · lose 34%Game preview →
If the season ended todayNo. 8 seed, Section BAt No. 1 seed Rancocas Valley in the first round.If every favorite wins Saturday: out of the top 16. South Brunswick and Cherokee move ahead.Playoff spot60%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOutFull bracket →
If Trenton wins outThey're inBeat Ewing and Trenton makes it. No help needed.99% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 7:40 PM.

Before the cutoff · Saturday, Oct 24

Who can still pass Trenton?

Best caseNo. 6 seedWorst caseOut
  • Cherokee helmetCherokee2-6 · 18th todayCan pass us if they beat Shawnee and other results go their way. With a loss, only if we lose to Ewing and other results go their way.
  • Lenape helmetLenape2-6 · 16th todayCan pass us if they beat Pennsauken and other results go their way. With a loss, only if we lose to Ewing and other results go their way.
  • South Brunswick helmetSouth Brunswick3-5 · 19th todayPasses us if they beat Colonia and we lose to Ewing.
  • Cherry Hill East helmetCherry Hill East2-6 · 20th todayPasses us if they beat Northern Burlington and we lose to Ewing.
  • Hillsborough helmetHillsborough1-7 · 21st todayOnly if they beat Montgomery, we lose to Ewing and other results go their way.
  • Edison helmetEdison2-6 · 23rd todayOnly if they beat Rahway, we lose to Ewing and other results go their way.

Can’t pass Trenton: everyone else in South Group 5, whatever happens Saturday. Checked against every way Saturday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

WkDateOpponentResultThe lineBeat the line by
0Aug 28at Pennsbury (PA)L0–14
1Sep 3at Hopewell ValleyL12–21
2Sep 10at Northern BurlingtonL42–43
3Sep 18at AllentownW49–14
4Sep 25at HightstownW46–7
5Oct 3vs PennsaukenL8–17
6Oct 9vs LenapeW14–9
7Oct 17at PrincetonW34–0
Still to play · lines as of today
8Oct 24at EwingSat 11:00 AMEwing by 3.8

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Wat PrincetonOct 17 · 34–0 ›
Wvs LenapeOct 9 · 14–9 ›
Lvs PennsaukenOct 3 · 8–17 ›
Wat HightstownSep 25 · 46–7 ›
Wat AllentownSep 18 · 49–14 ›
Lat Northern BurlingtonSep 10 · 42–43 ›
Lat Hopewell ValleySep 3 · 12–21 ›
Lat Pennsbury (PA)Aug 28 · 0–14 ›

Still to play

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

If it ended today

Full bracket →

South Group 5 · Section B · first round, higher seed hosts

1Rancocas Valley 8-0a lock
8Trenton 4-460%
4Sayreville 6-2a lock
5Egg Harbor 6-2a lock
3Williamstown 5-3a lock
6Manalapan 4-4a lock
2Old Bridge 7-1a lock
7Monroe 4-448%
How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 57.47 · locks after Week 7
5062.575startW0W1W2W3W4W5W6W768.38
AfterSIΔ
Season start57.47
Week 055.02down −2.45
Week 157.43up +2.41
Week 260.80up +3.38
Week 365.04up +4.24
Week 467.87up +2.83
Week 565.34down −2.53
Week 665.42up +0.07
Week 768.38up +2.96

What if?

Pick the result against Ewing. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Trenton wins by 10NowThenChange
Seed, favorites win elsewhereNo. 8No. 6up 2
Strength Index68.3868.38locked
Power points8.009.11+1.11
Opponent strength rank17th14thup 3
Power rank (UPR)16.213.2better