South Group 4 · Public

Princeton Tigers

3-52-2 in the Capitol · Coach Charles Gallagher

Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

Long shot

2% to make it

Win: 96%. Loss: under 1%.

Waiting on: at Hopewell Valley, Fri 6:00 PM.
Seed: After Friday: No. 7 at best, or out.
Can pass us: Friday: 5 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Saturday, Oct 17vs TrentonL0–34Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 6:00 PM · Awayat Hopewell Valley7-1The lineHopewell Valley by 32Playoff oddsWin 96% · lose under 1%Game preview →

If the season ended todayOutNo. 17 of 27 in South Group 4.Playoff spot2%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOut

If Princeton wins outAlmost certainlyBeat Hopewell Valley and Princeton makes it 96% of the time. One win alone doesn't lock it.Princeton also needs these teams to lose

HowellNo. 15 · 3-4Plays at Ocean Twp. on Friday, Oct 23+10
HamiltonNo. 16 · 4-3Plays Notre Dame on Saturday, Oct 24+7

And these teams to win

AbsegamiNo. 17 · 1-7Plays at Atlantic Tech on Friday, Oct 23+5

96% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 7:40 PM. +10 means a Howell loss adds 10 points to Princeton's chance.

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Princeton?

Best caseNo. 7 seedWorst caseOut

Absegami1-7 · 17th todayOnly if they beat Atlantic Tech, we lose to Hopewell Valley and other results go their way.
Colts Neck4-4 · 17th todayCan pass us if they beat Monmouth and other results go their way. With a loss, only if we lose to Hopewell Valley, Cumberland beats Bridgeton, Barnegat beats Long Branch, Cherry Hill West beats Camden Eastside and other results go their way.
Cedar Creek1-7 · 20th todayOnly if they beat Holy Spirit and other results go their way.
Cherry Hill West2-6 · 22nd todayPasses us if they beat Camden Eastside and we lose to Hopewell Valley.
Long Branch2-6 · 23rd todayOnly if they beat Barnegat, we lose to Hopewell Valley and other results go their way.

Can’t pass Princeton: everyone else in South Group 4, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Aug 27	at Ocean City	L0–39
1	Sep 4	at Allentown	W17–16
2	Sep 10	vs Robbinsville	W34–7
3	Sep 19	at Hightstown	W41–22
4	Sep 26	vs Ewing	L8–30
5	Oct 1	at Northern Burlington	L7–31
6	Oct 10	at Hamilton	L6–24
7	Oct 17	vs Trenton	L0–34
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 23	at Hopewell Valley	Fri 6:00 PM	Hopewell Valley by 32

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Lvs TrentonOct 17 · 0–34 ›

Lat HamiltonOct 10 · 6–24 ›

Lat Northern BurlingtonOct 1 · 7–31 ›

Lvs EwingSep 26 · 8–30 ›

Wat HightstownSep 19 · 41–22 ›

Wvs RobbinsvilleSep 10 · 34–7 ›

Wat AllentownSep 4 · 17–16 ›

Lat Ocean CityAug 27 · 0–39 ›

Still to play

at Hopewell ValleyHopewell Valley by 32Fri 6:00 PM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 55.81 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	55.81
Week 0	49.35	down −6.46
Week 1	48.10	down −1.25
Week 2	52.48	up +4.38
Week 3	54.16	up +1.68
Week 4	52.91	down −1.25
Week 5	50.83	down −2.08
Week 6	46.22	down −4.61
Week 7	43.26	down −2.96

What if?

Pick the result against Hopewell Valley. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Princeton wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed, favorites win elsewhereOutNo. 7in

Strength Index43.2643.26locked

Power points5.887.89+2.01

Opponent strength rank17th14thup 3

Power rank (UPR)18.214.8better