South Group 4 · Public

Absegami Braves

1-70-4 in the Memorial · Coach Warren Smith Jr.

Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

Not yet eligible

34% to make it

Needs one more win over an NJSIAA school.

Waiting on: at Atlantic Tech, Fri 6:00 PM.
Seed: After Friday: No. 8 at best, or out.
Can pass us: Friday: 8 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Saturday, Oct 17vs Egg HarborL7–21Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Friday, Oct 23 · 6:00 PM · Awayat Atlantic Tech3-5The lineAbsegami by 1.8Playoff oddsWin 61% · lose under 1%Game preview →

If the season ended todayOutNo. 17 of 27 in South Group 4. Needs one more NJSIAA win to be eligible.If every favorite wins Friday: No. 8 seed, Section A. Moves ahead of Hamilton.Playoff spot34%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOut

If Absegami wins outAbout 2 in 3Beat Atlantic Tech and Absegami makes it 63% of the time. One win alone doesn't lock it.Absegami also needs these teams to lose

Colts NeckNo. 17 · 4-4Plays Monmouth on Saturday, Oct 24+77
HamiltonNo. 16 · 4-3Plays Notre Dame on Saturday, Oct 24+72
Cedar CreekNo. 20 · 1-7Plays Holy Spirit on Friday, Oct 23+70

63% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 7:40 PM. +77 means a Colts Neck loss adds 77 points to Absegami's chance.

Before the cutoff · Friday, Oct 23

Who can still pass Absegami?

Best caseNo. 8 seedWorst caseOutFavorites winNo. 8 seed

Colts Neck4-4 · 17th todayCan pass us whether they win or lose, with help from other results.
Cherry Hill West2-6 · 22nd todayPasses us if they beat Camden Eastside. With a loss, passes us if we lose to Atlantic Tech.
Long Branch2-6 · 23rd todayCan pass us if they beat Barnegat and other results go their way. With a loss, passes us if we lose to Atlantic Tech.
Central1-7 · 21st todayPasses us if they beat Toms River East and we lose to Atlantic Tech.
Cedar Creek1-7 · 20th todayPasses us if they beat Holy Spirit.
Freehold Boro1-7 · 27th todayPasses us if they beat Keyport and we lose to Atlantic Tech.
Hightstown1-7 · 24th todayPasses us if they beat Allentown and we lose to Atlantic Tech.
Toms River East1-7 · 26th todayPasses us if they beat Central and we lose to Atlantic Tech.

Can’t pass Absegami: everyone else in South Group 4, whatever happens Friday. Checked against every way Friday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Aug 28	vs Barnegat	L7–26
1	Sep 3	vs Oakcrest	L20–40
2	Sep 11	vs Ocean City	L0–31
3	Sep 18	vs Hammonton	L10–27
4	Sep 25	vs Lower Cape May	L0–28
5	Oct 2	vs Timber Creek	L0–43
6	Oct 10	at Pemberton	W28–0
7	Oct 17	vs Egg Harbor	L7–21
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 23	at Atlantic Tech	Fri 6:00 PM	Absegami by 1.8

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Lvs Egg HarborOct 17 · 7–21 ›

Wat PembertonOct 10 · 28–0 ›

Lvs Timber CreekOct 2 · 0–43 ›

Lvs Lower Cape MaySep 25 · 0–28 ›

Lvs HammontonSep 18 · 10–27 ›

Lvs Ocean CitySep 11 · 0–31 ›

Lvs OakcrestSep 3 · 20–40 ›

Lvs BarnegatAug 28 · 7–26 ›

Still to play

at Atlantic TechAbsegami by 1.8Fri 6:00 PM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 54.85 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	54.85
Week 0	50.83	down −4.02
Week 1	48.59	down −2.24
Week 2	47.13	down −1.47
Week 3	47.01	down −0.11
Week 4	45.64	down −1.38
Week 5	42.38	down −3.25
Week 6	49.64	up +7.25
Week 7	49.21	down −0.43

What if?

Pick the result against Atlantic Tech. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Absegami wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed, favorites win elsewhereOutNo. 8in

Strength Index49.2149.21locked

Power points6.757.67+0.92

Opponent strength rank19th19thno change

Power rank (UPR)18.217.8better