South Group 4 · Public

Hamilton Hornets

4-33-0 in the Valley · Coach Michael Papero

Playoff statusChecked Tue 7:40 PM

On the bubble

41% to make it

Win: 99%. Loss: 32%.

Waiting on: vs Notre Dame, Sat 11:00 AM.
Seed: After Saturday: No. 7 at best, or out.
Can pass us: Saturday: 6 teams. See who ↓

Last game

Final · Saturday, Oct 17at NottinghamW22–7Full breakdown →

Next game

Next · Saturday, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM · Homevs Notre Dame7-1The lineNotre Dame by 16Playoff oddsWin a lock · lose 32%Game preview →

If the season ended todayNo. 8 seed, Section AAt No. 1 seed Brick Memorial in the first round.If every favorite wins Saturday: out of the top 16. Absegami moves ahead.Playoff spot41%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOutFull bracket →

If Hamilton wins outThey're inBeat Notre Dame and Hamilton makes it. No help needed.99% if they win outOdds as of Tuesday, Oct 20, 7:40 PM.

Before the cutoff · Saturday, Oct 24

Who can still pass Hamilton?

Best caseNo. 7 seedWorst caseOut

Absegami1-7 · 17th todayPasses us if they beat Atlantic Tech and we lose to Notre Dame.
Colts Neck4-4 · 17th todayOnly if we lose to Notre Dame and other results go their way, win or lose themselves.
Princeton3-5 · 17th todayCan pass us if they beat Hopewell Valley and other results go their way. With a loss, only if we lose to Notre Dame and other results go their way.
Cedar Creek1-7 · 20th todayOnly if they beat Holy Spirit and other results go their way.
Cherry Hill West2-6 · 22nd todayPasses us if they beat Camden Eastside and we lose to Notre Dame.
Long Branch2-6 · 23rd todayOnly if they beat Barnegat, we lose to Notre Dame and other results go their way.

Can’t pass Hamilton: everyone else in South Group 4, whatever happens Saturday. Checked against every way Saturday’s games can go, and updated as each final comes in.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Aug 29	vs Morris Knolls	L7–49
1	Sep 4	at Lawrence	W25–16
2	Sep 12	at Camden Eastside	L0–49
3	Sep 19	vs Robbinsville	W35–19
5	Oct 3	vs Pemberton	L21–26
6	Oct 10	vs Princeton	W24–6
7	Oct 17	at Nottingham	W22–7
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 24	vs Notre Dame	Sat 11:00 AM	Notre Dame by 16
—	Nov 26	at Steinert	Nov 26	Steinert by 19

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Wat NottinghamOct 17 · 22–7 ›

Wvs PrincetonOct 10 · 24–6 ›

Lvs PembertonOct 3 · 21–26 ›

Wvs RobbinsvilleSep 19 · 35–19 ›

Lat Camden EastsideSep 12 · 0–49 ›

Wat LawrenceSep 4 · 25–16 ›

Lvs Morris KnollsAug 29 · 7–49 ›

Still to play

vs Notre DameNotre Dame by 16Sat 11:00 AM

at SteinertSteinert by 19Nov 26

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

If it ended today

Full bracket →

South Group 4 · Section A · first round, higher seed hosts

1Brick Memorial 7-1a lock

8Hamilton 4-341%

4Millville 4-3a lock

5Marlboro 5-3a lock

3Winslow 4-3a lock

6Hammonton 4-4a lock

2Atlantic City 4-3a lock

7Moorestown 5-3a lock

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 53.04 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	53.04
Week 0	47.26	down −5.78
Week 1	50.94	up +3.68
Week 2	43.65	down −7.29
Week 3	45.84	up +2.19
Week 5	45.79	down −0.05
Week 6	50.40	up +4.61
Week 7	49.82	down −0.58

What if?

Pick the result against Notre Dame. The seed has every other game going to the favorite; the rest holds other teams where they are.

If Hamilton wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed, favorites win elsewhereNo. 8No. 7up 1

Strength Index49.8249.82locked

Power points7.439.50+2.07

Opponent strength rank18th15thup 3

Power rank (UPR)17.214.2better

History

Our records so far cover the 2025 season.

1-02025 record19–14points for and against

Record book →